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Top Stocks Vault

Top Stocks Vault

Valuation & Buy Levels

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Panic Drop - Timothy Assi
Jun 29, 2025
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The market just made new all-time highs!

But here's what 99% of investors don't realize: S&P 500 has now made #4 all-time highs in 2025. Only ONE other time in history has it stopped making all-time highs at #4 (2000).

The data shows something incredible:

  • 96% probability $SPX makes at least 1 more all-time high in 2025

  • 91% probability it makes at least 6 new highs

Afbeelding

This pattern reveals everything about market momentum that most people miss. While everyone's focused on timing the market, the real opportunity is in understanding these historical patterns.

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Even high-quality stocks that have driven the S&P 500 to these record levels continue showing strong fundamentals and durable competitive advantages. With this historic momentum, disciplined investors must ride the trend while patiently waiting for shares of exceptional companies to eventually trade below fair valuations.

History bears this out—when the S&P 500 makes multiple all-time highs in a year, great businesses tend to continue their upward trajectory, but smart money waits for pullbacks to acquire positions at reasonable prices.

That said, wisdom demands trend following and valuation discipline.

Not every breakout offers attractive entry points, and while momentum can persist longer than expected, overvalued markets eventually correct. Focus on riding the winners with proven cash flows, adaptable management, and exposure to secular growth trends, while building watchlists of companies you want to own at lower prices.

The strategy: respect the trend until valuations become compelling again.

That's what you'll find in the Top Stocks Vault.

My Portfolio Strategy: Buy Quality, Stay Patient

I’ve navigated multiple bear markets and corrections, and each time, my portfolio has emerged stronger. My approach is simple:
✅ Buy high-quality stocks whenever they are undervalued.
✅ Hold for the long term, allowing them to compound wealth over time.

To execute this strategy effectively, you need to determine:
1️⃣ Is this a high-quality business?
2️⃣ Is it trading at an attractive valuation?

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3 Key Reasons to Understand Stock Valuation

📉 Avoid Overpaying – Knowing a stock’s intrinsic value helps you avoid buying at inflated prices, protecting your portfolio from losses when hype fades.

📈 Maximize Returns – Investing in undervalued stocks increases your potential upside as the market eventually corrects mispricings.

🛡 Invest with Confidence – A strong understanding of valuation lets you focus on businesses with solid fundamentals, so you can hold them long-term without second-guessing.

Must-Have Stocks for a Strong Portfolio

I only focus on stable, wide-moat businesses with durable competitive advantages and strong growth potential—stocks you can hold confidently for decades.

Why am I confident in these picks? Because I’ve conducted a deep-dive analysis on each one, examining:
🔹 Growth drivers
🔹 Financial health
🔹 Competitive landscape
🔹 Risk factors
🔹 Valuation metrics

I use a proven, research-backed approach, and if you're interested, I provide insights into that process here:

Google Deep Dive

ASML Deep Dive

Stay Updated on My Stock Picks

📢 I’ll notify you whenever I buy a stock or spot a good opportunity.

💡 Before diving in, check out the FAQ at the end of the blog—it will help you understand the goals of this series.

❓ Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I’ll either respond directly or include them in the next FAQ update.

🚀 For free subscribers: The rest of this article is exclusive to paid members. Upgrade now to access calculated fair values and buy levels for all Top Stocks Vault.

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