The Market Zone That Would Get Me Buying Again

Aug 18, 2025

Markets feel overextended right now, which means patience and timing are everything. The same rule applies to my Summer Sale, and you have only 3 days left to catch it. If you have been on the fence about upgrading to a paid subscriber, this is your chance to lock in 30% off before prices move back to full.

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Now, let’s get into the latest across equities, gold, Bitcoin, and altcoins.

The S&P 500 continues to inch upward, setting new highs despite mixed data and ongoing worries about rates. This isn’t a runaway rally; it’s more of a steady climb. That usually signals underlying strength. At some stage, a pullback is due, but it would likely act as a reset within an ongoing bullmarket rather than a true reversal.

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Stocks have run so far that I’ve stepped back from adding much lately. The zone that really catches my attention is around 6,150 points. It doesn’t mean the market must get there, but if it does, that’s when I’ll be looking to buy aggressively. Anything below that would feel like a gift.

Gold and Silver: Quiet Consolidation

Gold remains locked in a sideways range. These consolidations may seem uninteresting, but historically they build the foundation for the next push higher.

Silver, meanwhile, is holding firm and even outperforming Gold. Miners have also been strong, a sign that the market is comfortable at these levels and still expects more upside.

Bitcoin: Four-Year Cycle Still Intact

Bitcoin’s recent dip below $115,000 and bounce back near $117,000 grabbed attention, but on the bigger picture nothing has broken. On the monthly chart, Bitcoin still looks well-contained. The four year cycle does not show signs of being complete. There is no mania, no extreme sentiment, and no outsized monthly extension that would usually signal a peak.

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The weekly picture is more nuanced. We are late in the current weekly cycle that usually takes around 30 weeks, and the recent price action suggests momentum has cooled.

Instead of a clean surge higher, we saw a failed attempt to extend to the $130,000 to $140,000 range. That makes it more likely we are in the declining side of the weekly cycle. Pullbacks here should be expected, and even welcomed, since tagging levels closer to 110,000 or even 100,000 would still fit within a normal bull market rhythm.

For long term spot holders, this does not change the thesis. The four year cycle remains in play, and historically that means a final blow off move is still ahead. The real risk is not being positioned when it comes.

What it does mean is caution for traders. This is not the time to lean into leverage. Sharp downside moves can happen quickly, and overexposure can turn a healthy dip into forced exits.

Altcoins: Signs of Rotation

One of the more encouraging developments is Bitcoin dominance.

It has been falling even as Bitcoin itself pulled back. That is unusual and often signals capital beginning to flow into altcoins. Many alts have held their ground remarkably well during Bitcoin’s decline. Ethereum, Solana, and even names like Chainlink have shown resilience. If this continues, the next bullish phase may be led by altcoins, with several already starting to outperform on a relative basis.

Big Picture Takeaway

Across markets, the theme is maturity. Stocks keep climbing in steady fashion, metals are consolidating, and Bitcoin continues to respect its four-year rhythm. Corrections are part of the process, not the end of it.

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For investors, the message is clear: stay grounded, protect your positions, and avoid unnecessary leverage. The bigger trend remains bullish, and history suggests Bitcoin still has one last strong push before this cycle ends. If dominance continues to slip, altcoins may be the beneficiaries in that next phase.

Thanks for reading!