Bitcoin Just Hit a Record Weekly Close: Here’s How the Four-Year Cycle Sets Up a Run Past All-Time Highs
After a strong move from the mid-70s to the 105–106k area, Bitcoin is now sitting right back at the top of its prior range — within reach of the all-time highs.
While there's still some potential for one final push higher in the coming days, the strength of the recent advance makes it tougher to expect much more without a break. This was a powerful run, and we’ve likely used up a good portion of that energy.
Even if we do see a little more upside, it's reasonable to expect a cool-off soon — not necessarily a steep pullback, but something that allows the market to catch its breath.
For long-term holders, this isn’t the kind of environment where you try to get too precise with exits or re-entries. The risk of being left behind remains high if Bitcoin breaks above all time highs again.
The Four-Year Cycle: Still On Track
We’re now deep into this four-year cycle, and while the market has already made strong gains, it doesn’t appear finished.
Historically, the third year of the cycle has delivered some of the strongest returns. The recent reset with a 32% decline helped wash out excesses and bring positioning back to more reasonable levels. That kind of flush sets the stage for the next leg higher.
We’ve just closed a weekly candle at its highest level ever — not an all-time high print, but a weekly close that surpasses anything prior. That’s not the kind of move that typically signals a peak. On the contrary, it's often a stepping stone toward new highs.
From a risk perspective, the only real breakdown level remains around 74k. A break below that area would suggest a break of the bull run, but that doesn’t look likely based on current behavior. A dip in the long term uptrend a push back above recent highs would keep the bigger pattern intact — and from there, the market can push much higher.
Altcoins Still Need Patience
We saw a brief burst in some altcoins as BTC dominance dropped, but that move quickly retraced. Most major names like XRP and SOL gave back about half of their gains. That’s a warning sign if you’re late to the party — the easy part of that bounce is done. Unless you’re in early or positioned well before the breakout, chasing can lead to trouble.
If BTC cools off here and enters a short-term correction, dominance pushes to new highs again. That shift brings more short-term pain in altcoins. But once Bitcoin settles and regains upward momentum, another opening emerges for altcoins — especially those showing consistent strength against BTC. That’s the key filter: relative performance.
Still, it's worth remembering that Bitcoin has been the leader through this cycle, and there’s no clear sign that changes anytime soon. This remains largely a Bitcoin-driven market, and many altcoins are still lagging behind. Rotation into altcoins may work selectively, but it’s not broad-based — and that’s something traders and allocators need to respect.
Final Thoughts
The current structure across timeframes continues to lean constructive. We’ve just closed out six straight weeks of gains, and the first cooling phase could simply be a setup for continuation.
If BTC does pull back toward the mid-90s, that could be the setup for the next advance — one that pushes through prior highs and opens up the next move toward 120k and beyond.
As long as Bitcoin continues to build on this bulish structure, there’s likely more upside to come — and that’s where the focus should stay. Altcoins will have their time, but that timing still revolves around Bitcoin.
Thanks for reading
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Written by Timothy Assi, an Elite Popular Investor on eToro.
Not investment advice. eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. Your capital is at risk. For information and educational purposes only.
Copy Trading does not amount to investment advice. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk.
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