Bitcoin Breaks 7 Months of Resistance: The Parabolic Phase Starts Now
For 7 months, Bitcoin kept banging its head against the $110,000 ceiling. December, January, May, June.. every time it got close, sellers stepped in. But something different happened this time. The break wasn't messy or uncertain. It was clean, powerful, and decisive.
When an asset sits at resistance for eight months and then explodes higher, it's telling you something important: the big money has arrived.
Why This Time Is Different
We're not just breaking resistance. We're breaking resistance at the perfect moment in Bitcoin's four year cycle. Think of it like catching a wave: timing matters, and right now, we're surfing the biggest wave of the cycle.
Everyone knows about Bitcoin's four year cycles, but here's what most miss: within each major cycle are smaller weekly cycles that run around 30 weeks each. The previous weekly cycle bottomed out in April during Trump's tariff announcements, and we're now 14 weeks into the new one.
Translation? We're not even close to done. This weekly cycle that emerged from the April lows has serious room to run for another month or two. And when weekly cycles break to new highs this late in a four year cycle, they don't mess around. They go parabolic.
The Math That Will Shock You
Here's where it gets interesting. Historical data shows weekly cycles typically gain 90% to 110% from their lows. Sounds boring until you do the math:
90% gain from cycle lows = $140,000 110% gain from cycle lows = $150,000
But here's the kicker: those are conservative estimates based on normal cycles. When you break eight months of resistance in the final phase of a four year cycle, normal goes out the window.
And remember, this is just one weekly cycle. There's always the possibility of another weekly cycle following this one, which could push Bitcoin to heights that make today's targets look small. We could be looking at a scenario where this cycle peaks around $156,000, pulls back, and then another weekly cycle takes us to $200,000. That's the ultimate bullish scenario, though it would push us to the very edge of the four year cycle timeline.
The Monthly Candles Tell the Real Story
Pull up a monthly chart and you'll see something beautiful. Four green candles in a row, but they're not the monster candles we usually see in bull markets. Know what that means? The big moves are still coming.
July's monthly candle is already shaping up to be massive. Once we start seeing monthly gains of 20% to 30%, that's the signal retail has finally woken up. And when retail discovers Bitcoin is breaking records again, the real parabolic madness begins.
Ethereum Is About to Shock Everyone
While everyone's focused on Bitcoin, I’ve been rotating my Bitcoin into Ethereum, and it pulled off something remarkable. It went from $2,100 to $3,600 in 4 weeks.
I rotated hard into Ethereum the moment its ratio against Bitcoin broke free from a four year cycle of relentless underperformance.
When Ethereum starts outperforming Bitcoin this late in the game, it means two things:
The altcoin party is about to begin
We're closer to the cycle top than most people think
But here's the crazy part. If Ethereum hits a 0.04 ratio against Bitcoin while Bitcoin reaches $150,000, we're looking at $6,000 Ethereum.
The Altcoin Explosion Everyone's Been Waiting For
Bitcoin dominance just hit 16-week lows. That's altcoin language for "party time." But this isn't 2017 where everything went up. This is selective. You need to pick the right horses.
Ethereum is the obvious choice. It's beaten down, battle tested, and ready to explode higher. I've been covering HYPE and XRP for months in my Top Altcoin Playbook, and they've already delivered new all time highs for subscribers.
I break down BTC, ETH, and top altcoin setups with full portfolio positioning every week in the Top Altcoin Playbook. Click here to get access.
But here's the reality check: even in altcoin season, Bitcoin remains the king. Don't get so mesmerized by dreams of 100x lottery tickets that you ignore the asset delivering steady 200% gains over six months with a fraction of the risk.
Bitcoin gives you the reliable gains. Altcoins give you the lottery tickets. Don't flip that ratio by going all in on altcoins unless you enjoy watching your portfolio disappear during corrections.
The Big Picture That Changes Everything
We're not just in a Bitcoin bull market. We're in the final act of a four year cycle that's setting up to be legendary. The combination of institutional adoption, retail FOMO, and perfect technical timing creates conditions we might not see again for years.
The question isn't whether Bitcoin will hit new highs. The question is whether you'll be positioned for what comes next.
This is the payoff phase. The time when years of patience and holding through bear markets finally make sense. The time when life changing money gets made
The train is leaving the station. Again.
Thanks for reading!
PS… Want the complete shortcut to trading altcoins with precision (without wasting months on trial-and-error)?
Click here to grab the Altcoin Profit Toolkit — 8 structured modules + 3 indicators including the Smart Exit Decoder that shows overbought conditions on multiple timeframes, helping you scan, enter, and exit trades like a pro trader.
Written by Timothy Assi, an Elite Popular Investor on eToro.
Not investment advice. eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. Your capital is at risk. For information and educational purposes only.
Connect with me on:
🟦 Linkedin: Timothy Assi
🟪 Instagram: @panic_drop
⬛ X: @timoassi
📧 timothy@panicdrop.com